Skip to main content

Description

The Effects of Climate Change on Global Food Production from SRES Emissions and Socioeconomic Scenarios is an update to a major crop modeling study by the NASA Goddard Institute for Space Studies (GISS). The initial study was published in 1997, based on output of HadCM2 model forced with greenhouse gas concentration from the IS95 emission scenarios in 1997. Results of the initial study are presented at ESDIS' Potential Impacts of Climate Change on World Food Supply: Data Sets from a Major Crop Modeling Study, released in 2001. The co-authors developed and tested a method for investigating the spatial implications of climate change on crop production. The Decision Support System for Agrotechnology Transfer (DSSAT) dynamic process crop growth models, are specified and validated for one hundred and twenty seven sites in the major world agricultural regions. Results from the crop models, calibrated and validated in the major crop-growing regions, are then used to test functional forms describing the response of yield changes in the climate and environmental conditions. This updated version is based on HadCM3 model output along with GHG concentrations from the Special Report on Emissions Scenarios (SRES). The crop yield estimates incorporate some major improvements: 1) consistent crop simulation methodology and climate change scenarios; 2) weighting of model site results by contribution to regional and national, and rainfed and irrigated production; 3) quantitative foundation for estimation of physiological CO2 effects on crop yields; 4) Adaptation is explicitly considered; and 5) results are reported by country rather than by Basic Linked System region. The data are produced by A. Iglesias and C. Rosenzweig and the maps are produced by the Columbia University Center for International Earth Science Information Network (CIESIN).

Product Summary

Platforms
MODELS
Instruments
Computer
Spatial Extent
N: 90 S: -58 E: 180 W: -180
Geographic Region
GLOBAL,
BRUNEI,
CUBA,
CYPRUS,
DOMINICAN REPUBLIC,
HAITI,
INDONESIA,
JAMAICA,
MADAGASCAR,
MALAYSIA,
PAPUA NEW GUINEA,
PHILIPPINES,
PUERTO RICO,
SRI LANKA,
TRINIDAD AND TOBAGO,
AFGHANISTAN,
ALBANIA,
ALGERIA,
ANGOLA,
ARGENTINA,
ARMENIA,
ASIA,
AUSTRALIA,
AUSTRIA,
AZERBAIJAN,
BANGLADESH,
BELARUS,
BELGIUM,
BELIZE,
BENIN,
BHUTAN,
BOLIVIA,
BOSNIA AND HERZEGOVINA,
BOTSWANA,
BRAZIL,
BULGARIA,
BURKINA FASO,
BURUNDI,
CAMBODIA,
CAMEROON,
CANADA,
CENTRAL AFRICAN REPUBLIC,
CHAD,
CHILE,
CHINA,
COLOMBIA,
CONGO,
CONGO, DEMOCRATIC REPUBLIC,
COSTA RICA,
COTE D'IVOIRE,
CROATIA,
CZECHIA,
DENMARK,
DJIBOUTI,
ECUADOR,
EGYPT,
EL SALVADOR,
EQUATORIAL GUINEA,
ERITREA,
ESTONIA,
ETHIOPIA,
FINLAND,
FRANCE,
FRENCH GUIANA,
GABON,
GAMBIA,
GEORGIA,
GERMANY,
GHANA,
GREECE,
GREENLAND,
GUATEMALA,
GUINEA,
GUINEA-BISSAU,
GUYANA,
HONDURAS,
HUNGARY,
ICELAND,
INDIA,
IRAN,
IRAQ,
IRELAND,
ISRAEL,
ITALY,
JAPAN,
JORDAN,
KAZAKHSTAN,
KENYA,
KUWAIT,
KYRGYZSTAN,
LAO PEOPLE'S DEMOCRATIC REPUBLIC,
LATVIA,
LEBANON,
LESOTHO,
LIBERIA,
LIBYA,
LITHUANIA,
LUXEMBOURG,
MALAWI,
MALI,
MAURITANIA,
MEXICO,
MOLDOVA,
MONGOLIA,
MOROCCO,
MOZAMBIQUE,
MYANMAR,
NAMIBIA,
NEPAL,
NETHERLANDS,
NEW ZEALAND,
NICARAGUA,
NIGER,
NIGERIA,
NORTH KOREA,
NORTH MACEDONIA,
NORWAY,
OMAN,
PAKISTAN,
PANAMA,
PARAGUAY,
PERU,
POLAND,
PORTUGAL,
QATAR,
ROMANIA,
RUSSIAN FEDERATION,
RWANDA,
SAUDI ARABIA,
SENEGAL,
SIERRA LEONE,
SLOVAKIA,
SLOVENIA,
SOMALIA,
SOUTH AFRICA,
SOUTH KOREA,
SPAIN,
SUDAN,
SURINAME,
SWEDEN,
SWITZERLAND,
SYRIAN ARAB REPUBLIC,
TAIWAN,
TAJIKISTAN,
TANZANIA,
THAILAND,
TOGO,
TUNISIA,
TURKEY,
TURKMENISTAN,
UGANDA,
UKRAINE,
UNITED ARAB EMIRATES,
UNITED KINGDOM,
UNITED STATES OF AMERICA,
URUGUAY,
UZBEKISTAN,
VENEZUELA,
VIETNAM,
WESTERN SAHARA,
YEMEN,
ZAMBIA,
ZIMBABWE
Coordinate System
CARTESIAN
Granule Spatial Representation
CARTESIAN
Temporal Extent
1970-01-01 to 2080-12-31
Data Partner
Earth Science Data Information System (ESDIS)
Concept ID
c3550190501-esdis
Data State
COMPLETE
Processing Level
4
Published
Updated

Citation

Citation is critically important for dataset documentation and discovery. This dataset is openly shared, without restriction, in accordance with the EOSDIS Data Use and Citation Guidance.

Copy Citation

Iglesias, A., & Rosensweig, C. (2009). Effects of Climate Change on Global Food Production from SRES Emissions and Socioeconomic Scenarios (Version 1.00) [Data set]. Palisades, NY: NASA Socioeconomic Data and Applications Center (SEDAC). https://doi.org/10.7927/H4JM27JZ Date Accessed: 2025-06-25

Additional Citation

Parrya, M.L.,C. Rosenzweig, A. Iglesias, M. Livermored, and G. Fischer. 2004. Effects of Climate Change on Global Food Production Under SRES Emissions and Socio-economic Scenarios. Global Environmental Change 14 (1): 53-67. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2003.10.008

Documents

GENERAL DOCUMENTATION Data Set Documentation

Learning Resources

View All Learning Resources
Filters
No Results